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Red91
174518.4
903429.1
284842.8
Blue79
712136.5
850716.5
750314.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874802040601001201401609179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
66Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
91Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.1
33.034.1
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
red by 6.3
7121
#14
36.52.0
20.622.6
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Second
9034
#26
29.11.1
19.820.9
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 12.6
8507
#34
16.52.0
12.414.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Third
1745
#25
18.41.1
16.217.2
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End1.1
red by 4.1
7503
#33
14.32.0
11.113.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed