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Red77
464138.5
913628.0
712512.7
Blue79
543138.0
471715.4
578826.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674402060801001201407779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
61Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#6
6L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
77Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.2
18.219.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 0.5
5431
#11
38.02.4
20.222.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Second
9136
#27
28.02.1
30.032.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
red by 1.1
26.82.4
14.316.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
7125
#19
12.71.2
8.39.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 2.7
4717
#23
15.42.4
7.910.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed