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Red17
367626.2
941833.0
419228.1
Blue24
753412.2
420629.6
690112.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99410501501724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +15
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop15
Reef
0L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
17Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#13
33.04.4
29.325.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
red by 3.4
4206
#18
29.61.2
22.521.3
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Second
4192
#32
28.14.9
25.520.6
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
red by 15.9
7534
#24
12.21.2
10.29.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Third
3676
#15
26.27.3
27.720.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 14.2
6901
#10
12.01.3
8.77.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed