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Red101
887428.6
667240.3
914039.5
Blue78
271456.2
42959.5
541717.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905002040608010012014016010178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#10
41Coral points36
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
18Processor points0
8Net points8
26Algae points8
67Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points0
101Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.2
32.333.6
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
blue by 15.9
56.21.8
33.535.3
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
9140
#17
39.51.2
27.528.7
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
red by 22.0
5417
#12
17.41.8
14.816.6
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Third
28.61.3
21.022.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
red by 19.2
4295
#35
9.51.8
3.14.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned