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Red179
753510.8
300576.2
876919.4
Blue104
45741.3
617118.8
903429.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948460100120140160179104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +61
31Coral scored#16
113Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
137Total teleop76
Reef
15L4#6
8L3#5
4L2#4
7L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
12Foul points0
179Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.24.4
60.064.4
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
red by 34.9
457
#4
41.30.8
31.732.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
8769
#31
19.44.4
12.416.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 9.8
9034
#26
29.10.8
20.921.7
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Third
7535
#28
10.84.4
4.18.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 8.0
6171
#22
18.80.8
14.615.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned