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Red82
876919.4
753412.2
667240.3
Blue47
913628.0
33558.0
712136.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68685060657075808247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
51Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points2
82Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.5
32.933.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
red by 3.8
7121
#14
36.51.1
23.622.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Second
8769
#31
19.40.5
17.418.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 8.6
9136
#27
28.01.8
31.830.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
Third
7534
#24
12.20.5
11.512.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
red by 4.2
3355
#30
8.01.1
5.94.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed