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Red77
914039.5
45741.3
471715.4
Blue73
903429.1
419228.1
436414.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965902040801201401607773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
18Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
45Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
77Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
41.30.1
33.032.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
red by 12.2
9034
#26
29.11.4
21.723.1
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Second
9140
#17
39.50.1
31.231.1
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
red by 11.4
4192
#32
28.11.4
20.421.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Third
4717
#23
15.40.1
11.811.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 1.3
4364
#16
14.11.4
6.98.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed