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Red116
941833.0
690112.0
284842.8
Blue79
300576.2
42959.5
709110.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7892406010012014011679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
62Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
8Foul points0
116Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.82.2
35.137.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
blue by 33.4
76.20.2
63.863.6
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
Second
9418
#13
33.02.2
27.529.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
red by 22.3
7091
#21
10.70.2
7.87.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Third
6901
#10
12.02.2
6.78.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 2.5
4295
#35
9.50.2
5.75.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned