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Red102
541717.4
367626.2
543138.0
Blue65
578826.8
915628.1
850716.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694802040608010012010265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
8Coral scored#8
30Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
38Total teleop37
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
36Foul points6
102Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#11
38.00.3
22.522.8
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
red by 9.9
9156
#20
28.10.8
15.216.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Second
3676
#15
26.20.5
21.822.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
blue by 0.6
26.80.8
17.418.2
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
5417
#12
17.40.3
17.217.5
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 0.9
8507
#34
16.50.8
14.114.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed