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Red106
887428.6
271456.2
464138.5
Blue32
753510.8
174518.4
33558.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9624040608012014016010632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+72Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +61
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
72Total teleop11
Reef
7L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
106Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.7
34.736.4
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 37.8
1745
#25
18.40.4
19.018.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Second
38.51.7
23.024.6
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 27.7
7535
#28
10.80.4
8.37.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Third
28.61.7
23.124.8
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
red by 20.6
3355
#30
8.00.4
4.84.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed