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Red52
690112.0
667240.3
Blue85
436414.1
284842.8
914039.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608420401001201405285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#14
20Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
30Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
52Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.4
33.533.0
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
blue by 2.5
42.80.6
37.337.8
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
Second
6901
#10
12.00.4
8.98.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 27.5
9140
#17
39.50.6
31.131.7
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Third
9.90.4
16.315.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 4.2
4364
#16
14.10.6
8.38.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed