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Red80
711933.0
578826.8
367626.2
Blue104
617118.8
300576.2
753412.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701055015080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+44
Endgame+54
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
37Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#7
1L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
30Foul points0
80Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.3
25.924.6
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
blue by 43.2
76.20.7
63.664.3
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
Second
26.81.3
18.216.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 8.1
6171
#22
18.80.7
14.315.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Third
3676
#15
26.22.1
22.320.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 14.0
7534
#24
12.20.7
12.112.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned