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Red110
543138.0
42959.5
903429.1
Blue190
271456.2
419228.1
45741.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6011550100150110190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+60
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +36
20Coral scored#28
71Coral points101
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
97Total teleop133
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#11
3L2#9
2L1 · trough#7
26Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
110Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#11
38.02.5
22.825.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
blue by 18.2
56.25.0
36.441.4
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
9034
#26
29.12.5
23.125.6
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 12.2
457
#4
41.35.0
32.938.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Third
4295
#35
9.52.5
5.47.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 18.6
4192
#32
28.15.0
21.826.9
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned