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Red69
712136.5
436414.1
42959.5
Blue105
419228.1
543138.0
464138.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions418905010015069105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
55Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points4
69Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#14
36.51.9
24.126.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
blue by 2.0
38.51.6
24.626.3
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Second
4364
#16
14.11.9
8.910.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 23.9
5431
#11
38.01.6
25.226.9
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Third
4295
#35
9.51.9
7.99.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
blue by 18.6
4192
#32
28.11.6
26.928.5
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed