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Qual 262025 FIT District Fort Worth Event
Red124
667240.3
913628.0
45741.3
Blue128
711933.0
420629.6
617118.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277150100150200124128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
87Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
124Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
41.30.1
38.0→37.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
red by 8.3
7119
#3
33.03.2
24.6→27.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
6672
#5
40.30.1
33.0→32.9
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
red by 10.8
4206
#18
29.63.2
23.9→27.1
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Third
9136
#27
28.00.2
31.7→31.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
red by 9.2
6171
#22
18.83.2
15.1→18.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned