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Red46
750314.3
876919.4
284842.8
Blue68
914039.5
753510.8
367626.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786220401001204668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#9
13Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
19Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
46Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.5
37.836.3
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
red by 3.4
9140
#17
39.50.6
31.732.2
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Second
8769
#31
19.41.5
17.516.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 6.8
3676
#15
26.20.9
20.221.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Third
7503
#33
14.31.5
13.712.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 3.5
7535
#28
10.80.6
7.78.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned