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Red75
471715.4
712136.5
876919.4
Blue100
543138.0
709110.7
914039.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5573020408010012014075100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
64Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points12
75Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#14
36.51.4
26.027.4
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
blue by 2.9
9140
#17
39.51.5
32.233.7
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Second
8769
#31
19.41.4
16.017.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 18.6
5431
#11
38.01.5
26.928.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Third
4717
#23
15.41.4
11.613.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 4.7
7091
#21
10.71.5
6.68.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed