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Red86
464138.5
915628.1
903429.1
Blue69
419228.1
690112.0
913628.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7673607080901008669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
65Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points6
86Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.9
26.327.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 10.5
4192
#32
28.10.3
28.528.2
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Second
9034
#26
29.10.9
24.925.7
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 1.1
9136
#27
28.00.5
31.530.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
Third
9156
#20
28.10.9
15.816.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
red by 16.1
6901
#10
12.00.3
7.87.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed