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Red95
578826.8
712512.7
271456.2
Blue19
541717.4
436414.1
750314.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82340501001509519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#1
46Coral points5
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
60Total teleop9
Reef
6L4#1
6L3#0
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
95Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.7
42.043.7
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 38.8
5417
#12
17.41.3
15.013.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
26.81.7
18.420.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 12.5
7503
#33
14.31.3
12.210.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
7125
#19
12.71.7
9.311.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 1.4
4364
#16
14.11.3
10.79.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed