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Red87
284842.8
33558.0
367626.2
Blue91
45741.3
941833.0
711933.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70120501001502008791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+14Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
58Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
87Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.81.2
36.337.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
red by 1.6
457
#4
41.30.9
37.836.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
3676
#15
26.22.0
21.123.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
blue by 6.9
33.00.9
27.826.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Third
3355
#30
8.01.2
5.97.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 25.0
9418
#13
33.00.9
30.029.1
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned