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Red49
887428.6
753412.2
850716.5
Blue136
420629.6
300576.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46127010015020049136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+91
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +77
6Coral scored#24
22Coral points87
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
32Total teleop109
Reef
2L4#13
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
49Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
26.125.4
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
blue by 47.6
76.21.3
64.866.1
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
Second
8507
#34
16.50.7
13.713.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 13.1
4206
#18
29.61.3
27.128.4
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Third
7534
#24
12.20.7
11.610.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
red by 2.3
9.91.3
15.416.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed