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Red36
436414.1
367626.2
617118.8
Blue119
541717.4
284842.8
464138.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4986020406010012014036119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+75
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +65
3Coral scored#18
11Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
21Total teleop86
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#6
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
36Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3676
#15
26.22.0
23.121.0
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
blue by 16.7
42.82.5
37.540.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
Second
6171
#22
18.81.2
18.817.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 19.8
38.52.5
27.129.7
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Third
4364
#16
14.11.2
9.58.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 3.4
5417
#12
17.42.5
13.716.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned