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Red34
33558.0
753412.2
750314.3
Blue74
709110.7
667240.3
578826.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257104060801001201403474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+36
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +25
4Coral scored#8
16Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
20Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
34Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7503
#33
14.30.1
10.911.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 26.0
40.30.4
33.934.3
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
Second
7534
#24
12.20.1
10.911.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 14.6
26.80.4
20.120.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
3355
#30
8.00.1
7.17.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 2.7
7091
#21
10.70.4
8.18.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed