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Red99
903429.1
420629.6
941833.0
Blue111
300576.2
712136.5
174518.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9113040608010012014016018020099111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
68Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#9
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
99Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#13
33.00.5
29.129.6
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
blue by 43.2
76.20.3
66.165.9
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
Second
4206
#18
29.60.5
28.428.9
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
blue by 7.0
7121
#14
36.50.3
27.427.2
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Third
9034
#26
29.10.5
25.726.2
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 10.7
1745
#25
18.40.3
18.318.1
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed