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Red115
850716.5
271456.2
711933.0
Blue56
471715.4
690112.0
915628.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1003105015020011556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +46
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
6Processor points6
20Net points0
26Algae points6
68Total teleop22
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
12Foul points12
115Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.3
43.745.0
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 28.1
9156
#20
28.10.5
16.717.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Second
33.01.3
26.928.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 17.7
4717
#23
15.40.5
13.013.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
8507
#34
16.51.3
13.014.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
red by 4.5
6901
#10
12.00.5
7.57.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned