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Red78
887428.6
543138.0
Blue71
876919.4
45741.3
367626.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83906070801001101201307871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+11Teleop
Endgame+1
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +20
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
60Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
8Foul points0
78Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#11
38.00.7
28.327.6
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
blue by 3.3
457
#4
41.31.1
36.935.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
28.60.7
25.424.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
red by 2.4
3676
#15
26.21.7
21.019.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Third
9.90.7
16.716.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 9.5
8769
#31
19.41.1
17.416.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned