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Red97
915628.1
667240.3
617118.8
Blue141
300576.2
941833.0
436414.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711165010015097141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +41
9Coral scored#21
31Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
53Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
97Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.31.7
34.336.0
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
blue by 35.9
76.22.1
65.968.0
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
Second
9156
#20
28.11.7
17.218.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
blue by 4.9
9418
#13
33.02.1
29.631.7
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Third
6171
#22
18.81.7
17.619.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 4.7
4364
#16
14.12.1
8.310.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned