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Red90
690112.0
711933.0
876919.4
Blue115
750314.3
174518.4
45741.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6285204010012014016090115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+23
Fouls+25
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +14
9Coral scored#16
34Coral points58
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
68Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points2
90Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.3
28.229.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
blue by 8.3
457
#4
41.31.8
35.837.6
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
8769
#31
19.41.3
16.317.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 1.0
1745
#25
18.41.8
18.119.9
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Third
6901
#10
12.01.3
7.99.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 2.4
7503
#33
14.31.8
11.112.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned