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Red101
712512.7
543138.0
850716.5
Blue157
914039.5
903429.1
271456.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions491240100150200101157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+44
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points59
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
6Processor points24
12Net points32
18Algae points56
86Total teleop115
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points12
101Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#11
38.02.6
27.630.2
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
blue by 18.2
56.21.9
45.046.8
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
8507
#34
16.52.6
14.316.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 23.0
9140
#17
39.51.9
34.336.1
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Third
7125
#19
12.72.6
11.514.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 16.5
9034
#26
29.11.9
26.228.1
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned