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Red70
753412.2
419228.1
709110.7
Blue81
284842.8
887428.6
913628.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4410701507081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
52Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
70Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#32
28.11.0
28.729.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 14.8
42.81.1
40.038.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
Second
7534
#24
12.21.0
11.112.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 16.4
28.61.1
24.723.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
Third
7091
#21
10.71.0
8.59.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 17.3
9136
#27
28.01.8
28.126.3
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed