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Red67
578826.8
753510.8
436414.1
Blue42
471715.4
941833.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356802060801001201406742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+19Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Coral scored#6
31Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
45Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
6Foul points0
67Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.81.5
20.522.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 6.2
9418
#13
33.01.3
31.730.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Second
4364
#16
14.11.5
10.311.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 1.3
4717
#23
15.41.3
13.512.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
7535
#28
10.81.5
7.18.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
red by 1.0
9.91.3
16.014.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed