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Red101
915628.1
45741.3
887428.6
Blue56
42959.5
578826.8
750314.3
92%Model gave it8%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10452015010156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+41Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
66Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
4Foul points0
101Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
41.31.1
37.638.8
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
red by 14.5
26.80.8
22.122.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Second
28.61.1
23.524.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
red by 14.3
7503
#33
14.30.8
12.913.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
9156
#20
28.11.1
18.820.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
red by 18.6
4295
#35
9.50.8
9.310.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed