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Red35
33558.0
419228.1
Blue49
750314.3
471715.4
420629.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575835404550606570753549

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
1Coral scored#7
2Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
2Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
18Foul points0
35Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#32
28.12.5
28.526.0
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 1.5
4206
#18
29.60.4
28.027.7
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Second
9.92.5
15.012.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 5.5
4717
#23
15.40.4
12.912.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
3355
#30
8.02.5
10.68.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 6.3
7503
#33
14.30.4
13.713.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed