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Red113
617118.8
887428.6
712136.5
Blue105
284842.8
712512.7
45741.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87113406080100120140160113105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +11
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
87Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
113Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#14
36.51.4
30.732.1
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
blue by 6.3
42.80.1
39.639.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
Second
28.61.4
24.726.0
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
blue by 12.7
457
#4
41.30.1
38.838.7
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Third
6171
#22
18.81.4
18.019.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 6.1
7125
#19
12.70.1
13.313.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned