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Red103
436414.1
271456.2
690112.0
Blue84
941833.0
876919.4
913628.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7682406010012014010384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#12
51Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
65Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points2
103Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.9
47.149.0
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 23.2
9418
#13
33.00.5
30.430.9
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Second
4364
#16
14.11.9
11.913.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 13.9
9136
#27
28.00.7
26.727.4
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
Third
6901
#10
12.01.9
9.711.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 7.4
8769
#31
19.40.5
17.417.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed