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Red101
667240.3
750314.3
419228.1
Blue113
45741.3
543138.0
436414.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921066080100120140101113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#20
43Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
69Total teleop85
Reef
7L4#8
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
101Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.5
37.938.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
blue by 1.0
457
#4
41.30.4
38.739.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
4192
#32
28.10.5
26.026.6
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
blue by 9.9
5431
#11
38.00.4
33.934.3
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Third
7503
#33
14.30.5
13.313.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
red by 0.3
4364
#16
14.10.4
13.814.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned