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Red108
420629.6
284842.8
753510.8
Blue147
712136.5
915628.1
271456.2
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801164060100140160180200108147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+33
Fouls+39
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +36
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
66Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points6
108Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.82.0
39.541.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
blue by 13.4
56.22.6
49.051.6
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
Second
4206
#18
29.62.0
27.729.7
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
blue by 7.0
7121
#14
36.52.6
32.134.7
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Third
7535
#28
10.82.0
10.312.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
blue by 17.3
9156
#20
28.12.6
21.123.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned