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Red33
471715.4
33558.0
903429.1
Blue39
367626.2
709110.7
690112.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585401001502003339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
18Total teleop9
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points2
33Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#26
29.11.5
31.229.7
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 2.9
3676
#15
26.21.1
26.225.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Second
4717
#23
15.41.5
12.611.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 3.4
6901
#10
12.00.9
11.610.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
3355
#30
8.01.5
8.16.7
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 2.7
7091
#21
10.70.9
9.99.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned