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Red68
850716.5
617118.8
941833.0
Blue90
711933.0
541717.4
887428.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70812040601001201406890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
50Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
68Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#13
33.00.1
30.931.0
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Level
33.01.1
31.132.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
6171
#22
18.80.1
19.319.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
blue by 9.8
28.61.1
26.027.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
Third
8507
#34
16.50.1
16.616.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 0.9
5417
#12
17.41.1
16.517.6
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned