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Red131
753412.2
271456.2
284842.8
Blue103
420629.6
543138.0
876919.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1208850100150200131103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
104Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
131Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.21.0
51.652.6
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 18.2
5431
#11
38.00.6
34.334.9
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Second
42.81.0
41.542.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.9
End3.1
red by 13.3
4206
#18
29.60.6
29.730.3
Auto6.7
Teleop21.0
End1.8
Third
7534
#24
12.21.0
12.113.1
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
blue by 7.2
8769
#31
19.40.6
18.619.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed