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Red113
709110.7
712136.5
464138.5
Blue126
45741.3
578826.8
690112.0
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99910200300400113126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#7
18Processor points6
12Net points28
30Algae points34
78Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points10
113Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.51.7
33.835.4
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
blue by 2.8
457
#4
41.32.0
39.141.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
7121
#14
36.51.7
34.736.4
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
red by 9.7
26.82.0
24.126.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
7091
#21
10.71.7
9.010.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 1.3
6901
#10
12.02.0
10.712.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned