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Red81
941833.0
915628.1
33558.0
Blue77
913628.0
914039.5
617118.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589502040801201408177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
59Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
81Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9418
#13
33.01.3
31.032.3
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
blue by 6.5
9140
#17
39.50.6
38.938.2
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
Second
9156
#20
28.11.3
23.725.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8
red by 0.1
9136
#27
28.00.7
28.327.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.7
End1.5
Third
3355
#30
8.01.3
6.78.0
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
blue by 10.8
6171
#22
18.80.6
19.418.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed