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Red137
711933.0
750314.3
300576.2
Blue93
419228.1
887428.6
471715.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1406105010020013793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
84Total teleop67
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points8
137Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.5
72.172.6
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
red by 47.6
28.60.6
27.127.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
Second
33.00.5
32.232.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
red by 5.0
4192
#32
28.10.6
26.627.2
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Third
7503
#33
14.30.5
13.814.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End2.0
blue by 1.0
4717
#23
15.40.6
11.111.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed