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Red42
436414.1
753412.2
174518.4
Blue57
367626.2
850716.5
42959.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53602040801001204257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
5Coral scored#5
17Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
27Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
42Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#25
18.40.9
19.318.4
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End1.1
blue by 7.8
3676
#15
26.20.2
25.124.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
Second
4364
#16
14.10.9
14.213.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8
blue by 2.5
8507
#34
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Third
7534
#24
12.20.9
13.112.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End1.0
red by 2.7
4295
#35
9.50.2
9.69.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned