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Red131
419228.1
903429.1
887428.6
Blue133
45741.3
876919.4
712136.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021216080140160180131133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points65
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
99Total teleop85
Reef
14L4#9
4L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points6
131Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#26
29.10.7
28.429.1
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 12.2
457
#4
41.30.3
41.341.6
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
Second
28.60.7
27.928.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
blue by 7.9
7121
#14
36.50.3
36.536.9
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Third
4192
#32
28.10.7
27.428.1
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
red by 8.7
8769
#31
19.40.3
19.419.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2