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Red179
300576.2
271456.2
471715.4
Blue84
941833.0
436414.1
578826.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626705010015020025017984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+85Teleop
+103Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
27Coral scored#12
98Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
118Total teleop54
Reef
16L4#4
6L3#4
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#16
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points8
179Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.20.8
72.873.6
Auto17.9
Teleop49.7
End8.6
red by 43.2
9418
#13
33.00.1
32.432.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Second
56.20.8
52.853.6
Auto9.3
Teleop38.8
End8.1
red by 29.4
26.80.1
26.326.2
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
4717
#23
15.40.8
11.912.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 1.3
4364
#16
14.10.1
13.513.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8