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Red98
258732.5
271843.8
999121.3
Blue110
541437.9
463928.3
749246.8
16%Model gave it84%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8714305010020025098110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
65Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
98Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2718
#10
43.80.0
42.242.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
blue by 2.9
7492
#26
46.81.2
46.645.4
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
Second
2587
#16
32.50.0
38.338.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.5
End3.4
blue by 5.3
5414
#27
37.91.2
46.845.6
Auto9.3
Teleop27.5
End1.0
Third
9991
#29
21.30.1
18.017.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.2
End0.4
blue by 7.0
4639
#25
28.31.2
34.533.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed