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Red87
433630.0
837025.3
62458.5
Blue137
1038522.1
635759.5
147752.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361635010015020025030087137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+52
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
10Coral scored#19
37Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
65Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
87Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
58.53.0
65.962.8
Auto11.7
Teleop42.3
End4.6
blue by 0.9
6357
#12
59.50.6
61.761.1
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Second
4336
#18
30.03.0
36.233.1
Auto4.6
Teleop24.1
End1.3
blue by 22.7
1477
#11
52.70.6
61.560.9
Auto10.0
Teleop37.1
End5.7
Third
8370
#28
25.33.0
27.324.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End3.1
red by 3.3
22.10.6
20.720.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsMissed