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Red90
550314.8
941831.3
32351.9
Blue106
384750.3
32454.9
1011841.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9917805015020025090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+10Teleop
Endgame+12
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
75Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points6
90Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#13
51.90.8
44.243.4
Auto6.6
Teleop39.0
End6.3
blue by 3.0
324
#9
54.93.1
60.857.7
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Second
9418
#19
31.30.8
38.838.0
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0
blue by 19.1
3847
#14
50.33.1
59.556.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
Third
5503
#37
14.80.8
13.412.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.6
End1.5
blue by 26.4
41.23.1
26.923.8
Auto7.5
Teleop25.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned