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Red150
288158.7
384750.3
589256.3
Blue132
804490.4
851517.1
32454.9
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161163130140150170180150132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
26Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
88Total teleop88
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#6
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
150Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.6
53.452.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.2
End11.5
blue by 31.7
90.41.4
75.774.3
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
Second
56.30.6
46.545.8
Auto13.3
Teleop37.7
End5.3
red by 1.4
324
#9
54.91.4
57.756.3
Auto8.4
Teleop38.0
End8.5
Third
3847
#14
50.30.6
56.355.7
Auto12.1
Teleop29.2
End9.0
red by 33.3
8515
#34
17.11.4
16.915.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned